The Motivation Bar

Imagine that I like apples. Everyday I walk my dog and on the horizon I see an apple tree. As I get close I see delicious juicy apples. Many are hanging right at eye level. This is the low hanging fruit. I make a prediction. I predict that if I eat an apple, I will feel good. So I grab one.
I take a bite and it tastes good. I have seen a cue in the environment, the apple. I made a prediction, that it would taste good and make me happy. I had the desire for the apple. I performed the action, which was to reach and grab the apple and take a bite. And I got the reward, which is one of the best pleasures, the sensual pleasure of eating.
Where does motivation fit in?
Now imagine after weeks of this that there are no more low hanging apples. The available apples are higher and higher up the tree. I have actually climbed the tree and gotten a few of them. But one day I was out on a limb, trying to grab an apple, and the limb broke. Now I cannot get to any fruit.
So the next day, I walk down the street and I see the apple tree. That is the cue in the environment. I make a prediction that the apple will taste good. There will be a reward. But I also make a prediction that I cannot get the apple. I still have a desire for an apple. But I don’t think I can get it. My prediction conflicts with my desire.
I think this is where motivation lies. I lose my motivation to get the apple. Because I predict that I cannot get it. I still desire it. So, somewhere in there is a belief. The belief in whether or not I can succeed. My belief is that I will fail, and so I lose my motivation.

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